> Daily Digest
7 today// Long-term (31-90d)
// Yearly (91-365d)
> Active Narratives
Browse all forecasts →US Sanctions Escalation Fuels Russian AI-Enabled Cyber Retaliation
A fresh anti-Russia sanctions bill moving through the US House sharpens Kremlin incentives for asymmetric retaliation, reinforcing the sustained tempo of AI-assisted APT cyber operations against Ukrainian defense targets.
US Curbs on Chinese Satellite Imagery Extend the Tech Trade Wall
Escalating US-China technology decoupling and Western trade-wall momentum are converging to bring restrictions on Chinese commercial satellite-imagery providers, further hardening the strategic-tech perimeter.
Autonomous-Agent Threat Surface Forces Registry Lockdowns and Lab Safety Pacts
The rise of AI-driven automated attacks and agentic misuse is triggering defensive hardening on two fronts: software package registries add anti-bot/agent controls, and frontier labs move toward joint pre-deployment safety commitments.
Tech-Espionage Prosecution Hardens the Decoupling Front
Rising state-backed technology espionage drives South Korea to bring its first indictment under an expanded tech-espionage law, reinforcing the broader Western trade-wall and decoupling trajectory.
Uncoordinated AI Acceleration: No Voluntary Brakes Feed the Capex Race
With Congress stalled on any AI pause and frontier labs unwilling to agree binding deployment-slowdown gates, the deregulatory runway stays clear, sustaining the AI infrastructure capex surge.
> Accuracy Metrics
1260
666
0.289
Worse than random
436
229
634
32
12
95%
Ideal system: points lie on the diagonal. Above = underestimating risk. Below = overestimating. Color: green < 10%, yellow < 20%, red ≥ 20% deviation.