Sustained Ukrainian deep-strike pressure is degrading occupied-Crimea infrastructure (blackouts, fuel-depot fires), and the visible failures intensify Kremlin scapegoating and arrests of state-enterprise and government officials.
// Cascade Logic
Strike-induced infrastructure failures → public/elite blame → high-profile arrests of officials held responsible.
// Causal Graph
// Causal Links
amplifiesstrength: 45%shift: 24%
Repeated visible infrastructure failures in occupied territory push the Kremlin to scapegoat managers and officials, raising the probability of high-profile accountability arrests.