Browse Forecasts/Houthis will execute a coordinated missile or drone attack on Red Sea targets within 15 days

Houthis will execute a coordinated missile or drone attack on Red Sea targets within 15 days

Military & DefenseHighResolvedMedium-term (8-30d)Correct
88%
Description:

Following their declared intent to join the war against Israel, the Houthis are poised to launch attacks targeting commercial shipping or US-allied military assets in the Red Sea. Their established pattern of asymmetric strikes and proven drone/missile capability provide a strong base rate for near-term action.

Synthesis:

The Strait of Hormuz crisis dominates today's outlook: Iran's blockade is driving potential US military intervention within 30 days, fueling Houthi escalation in the Red Sea, and anchoring the Federal Reserve's rate hold through surging oil-driven inflation.

Part of Narrative:
triggersamplifies88%Houthis will execute a coord…95%Iran will conduct a retaliat…95%Dubai International Airport …
Analysis:
Probability History:
03/15/2026, 01:11 PM03/18/2026, 06:19 PM03/22/2026, 03:05 AM03/26/2026, 03:08 AM03/27/2026, 03:07 PM03/28/2026, 09:10 AM0%25%50%75%100%